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0xe1b361...9e1426

0xe1b361...9e1426
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
84.7%
Total P&L
+$56.5K
Trade Count
964
Sharpe Ratio
1.06
Sortino Ratio
2.27
Max Drawdown
117.0%
ROI
30.5%
Profit Factor
6.22
Kelly Fraction
0.711
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY57.0¢27.63Mar 4
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY57.0¢90.688Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY91.7¢638.104Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY82.6¢500Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY76.0¢9.55Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY76.0¢790.443Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY77.0¢800Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY79.0¢900Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL82.0¢36.04Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL82.0¢59.73Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL82.0¢15.23Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY82.0¢2,239.88Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY81.0¢504.94Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL25.0¢1,233.6Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL25.0¢12Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL25.0¢4Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL25.0¢295.99Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL25.0¢3.44Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL25.0¢8.72Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY92.2¢666Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%5%20–30%14%30–50%14%50–70%6%70–80%27%80–90%29%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.9%
Win Consistency77.5%
Profit Factor1.28
Drawdown Resilience1.04
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04
Weekly Sharpe est.0.79
Trading Activity964 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$155,9931d profit36d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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