0xe1f863...200d34

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.5%

Total P&L

-$113.3K

Trade Count

960

Sharpe Ratio

-0.02

Sortino Ratio

-0.04

Max Drawdown

787.5%

ROI

-19.8%

Profit Factor

0.15

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	38.5¢	1,039.846	Jan 26
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	0.8¢	50,000	Jan 26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	1,377.238	Jan 25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	52.53	Jan 25
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	44.0¢	1,000	Jan 25
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	42.59	Jan 25
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	52.23	Jan 25
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	52.23	Jan 25
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	104.47	Jan 25
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	1.887	Jan 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	246.59	Jan 24
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.7¢	50,000	Jan 24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	44.0¢	2,999.1	Jan 24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	SELL	30.0¢	560.61	Jan 23
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	SELL	30.0¢	439.39	Jan 23
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	26.0¢	600	Jan 23
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	27.0¢	400	Jan 23
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	SELL	24.0¢	6.35	Jan 20
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	SELL	24.0¢	100	Jan 20
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	25.0¢	18.86	Jan 20

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency46.2%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity44 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,7494d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue