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0xe20b24...690a43

0xe20b24...690a43
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
53.8%
Total P&L
-$0
Trade Count
18
Sharpe Ratio
0.55
Sortino Ratio
0.60
Max Drawdown
16.9%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
0.99
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
046.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY86.0¢5.744Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?SELL97.3¢5.08Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY99.2¢1.472Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.8¢1.055Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY84.0¢1.19Mar 4
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?BUY98.3¢5.086Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.3¢1,666.667Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.3¢333.333Mar 1
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?SELL97.8¢1.05Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY94.4¢2.119Feb 17
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?BUY99.7¢2.006Feb 16
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY96.4¢2.075Feb 14
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?BUY95.1¢1.052Feb 4
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY52.0¢1.923Feb 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY69.0¢1.449Feb 4
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?BUY91.0¢1.099Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY46.0¢2.174Feb 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY8.0¢625Feb 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%19%< 10%10–20%20–30%6%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%13%80–90%50%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing46.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.7%
Win Consistency69.2%
Profit Factor1.22
Drawdown Resilience0.98
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.98
Weekly Sharpe est.0.75
Trading Activity18 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$740d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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