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0xe25264...e09a07

0xe25264...e09a07
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
76.9%
Total P&L
+$1.1K
Trade Count
77
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Sortino Ratio
0.28
Max Drawdown
1029.0%
ROI
2.0%
Profit Factor
3.74
Kelly Fraction
0.564
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢1,436Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?SELL95.2¢74.56Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?BUY99.5¢74.563Mar 4
Jazz vs. 76ersBUY79.0¢137.15Mar 4
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?SELL99.9¢39.32Mar 4
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢1,353Mar 4
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢1,353Mar 4
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢1,169.93Mar 3
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢1,169.93Mar 3
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.4¢1,489.8Mar 2
Hurricanes vs. KrakenBUY63.0¢243.16Mar 2
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.5¢1,489.8Mar 1
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.1¢1,102.08Mar 1
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.2¢1,102.08Mar 1
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.4¢1,555.43Feb 28
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.5¢1,555.43Feb 28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?BUY42.0¢196.37Feb 28
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢1,529Feb 28
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢1,529Feb 28
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢1,284.67Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%5%20–30%5%30–50%13%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%70%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.1%
Win Consistency37.0%
Profit Factor0.75
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity77 trades · 30 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,6011d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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