0xe26a96...4fbdfa

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.2%

Total P&L

-$126

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.27

Sortino Ratio

-0.42

Max Drawdown

313.4%

ROI

-9.8%

Profit Factor

0.29

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	7.813	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	93.0¢	32.258	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	81.6¢	12.255	Mar 4
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BUY	87.0¢	34.483	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 3?	SELL	99.9¢	40.38	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	94.2¢	318.471	Mar 3
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	94.2¢	106.157	Mar 3
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	94.2¢	10.616	Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by March 3?	BUY	93.7¢	40.384	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	0.1¢	151.41	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	1.7¢	58.824	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	5.4¢	92.593	Feb 28
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?	BUY	5.3¢	0.18	Feb 27
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?	BUY	5.3¢	17	Feb 27
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?	BUY	5.3¢	1.404	Feb 27
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?	BUY	5.3¢	1.404	Feb 27
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?	BUY	5.6¢	17.857	Feb 27
Will Hillary's remarks not air?	BUY	5.6¢	17.857	Feb 27
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	5.319	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	SELL	47.0¢	21.73	Feb 25

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency47.7%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity84 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$6516d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue