0xe29c29...2753f1

Smart Score

Win Rate

22.1%

Total P&L

-$100

Trade Count

160

Sharpe Ratio

0.46

Sortino Ratio

10.88

Max Drawdown

1663.4%

ROI

-12.2%

Profit Factor

0.34

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	SELL	17.1¢	5.61	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	17.8¢	5.618	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	BUY	62.0¢	2.516	Feb 11
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	3.13	Feb 11
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	BUY	31.9¢	3.135	Feb 10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	SELL	4.0¢	11.9	Feb 10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	11.905	Feb 10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	SELL	28.0¢	17.85	Feb 10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	17.857	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	SELL	98.2¢	5.75	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	SELL	59.1¢	1.91	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	BUY	65.9¢	7.663	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	SELL	43.1¢	10.98	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	SELL	2.2¢	11.45	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	38.1¢	11.444	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	SELL	32.5¢	13.62	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	BUY	67.2¢	10.982	Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	36.7¢	13.624	Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	SELL	25.4¢	21.23	Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	23.5¢	21.237	Feb 8

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.6%

Win Consistency30.4%

Profit Factor0.08

Drawdown Resilience0.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity160 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$1237d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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