0xe2cbf5...ca6e8f

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.9%

Total P&L

-$5.2K

Trade Count

1,368

Sharpe Ratio

0.20

Sortino Ratio

0.25

Max Drawdown

300.2%

ROI

-3.3%

Profit Factor

0.50

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	SELL	99.0¢	206.76	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	62.0¢	69.5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	SELL	99.0¢	43.52	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	61.4¢	89.277	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	SELL	98.6¢	55.56	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	90.0¢	122.078	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	123.45	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	89.0¢	34.337	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	17.857	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	82.0¢	49.46	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	86.8¢	118.341	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	44.2¢	115.49	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	44.8¢	115.48	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	85.8¢	232.206	Mar 5
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	85.0¢	234.45	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	85.8¢	184.475	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	99.8¢	158.67	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	85.0¢	65.153	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	84.0¢	119.048	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	72.0¢	27.778	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency65.5%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity1,368 trades · 71 active days

P&L Calendar

$44,43814d profit51d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue