0xe32820...159f4a

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.4%

Total P&L

+$5.4K

Trade Count

3,986

Sharpe Ratio

-0.22

Sortino Ratio

-0.23

Max Drawdown

7890961.0%

ROI

2.0%

Profit Factor

4.01

Kelly Fraction

0.581

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	11.6¢	8.621	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.5¢	3.15	Mar 5
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	BUY	79.0¢	3.797	Mar 5
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	BUY	84.0¢	4.762	Mar 5
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	BUY	87.0¢	4.598	Mar 5
Huddle FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	94.0¢	4.255	Mar 5
Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	96.3¢	5.192	Mar 5
Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	98.6¢	4.057	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	89.0¢	4.494	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	91.0¢	5.495	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	92.0¢	5.435	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	96.6¢	5.176	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	36.072	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	95.7¢	4.18	Mar 5
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	BUY	80.0¢	7.5	Mar 5
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?	BUY	93.9¢	7.455	Mar 5
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	46.0¢	4.348	Mar 5
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	45.0¢	6.667	Mar 5
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	1.8¢	2,555.556	Mar 5
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	2.2¢	2,318.182	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%

Win Consistency47.4%

Profit Factor0.74

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity3,986 trades · 101 active days

P&L Calendar

$161,8807d profit94d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue