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0xe336f1...b86fcb

0xe336f1...b86fcb
Smart Score
46
Win Rate
35.3%
Total P&L
+$792
Trade Count
49
Sharpe Ratio
3.95
Sortino Ratio
23.12
Max Drawdown
269.3%
ROI
30.5%
Profit Factor
3.84
Kelly Fraction
0.261
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
046.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY13.4¢74.627Mar 5
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL3.0¢346.15Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSELL99.1¢8.96Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY54.9¢9.106Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY0.2¢500Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY0.2¢8,000Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETSELL99.1¢110.88Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY90.0¢111.111Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY16.0¢62.5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSELL99.1¢127.06Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY78.1¢128.001Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL3.6¢258.62Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY17.4¢287.356Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL6.0¢10Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.4¢121.951Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY20.0¢10Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL78.0¢140.8Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY0.9¢3,580.983Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY1.1¢2,926.24Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY1.2¢1,358.333Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%34%< 10%31%10–20%11%20–30%11%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing46.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.55
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.1%
Win Consistency42.1%
Profit Factor1.20
Drawdown Resilience0.97
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97
Weekly Sharpe est.0.74
Trading Activity49 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$7093d profit2d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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