Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xe362d2...fc602b

0xe362d2...fc602b
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
48.7%
Total P&L
+$2.5K
Trade Count
883
Sharpe Ratio
0.70
Sortino Ratio
3.38
Max Drawdown
1323.0%
ROI
5.3%
Profit Factor
1.56
Kelly Fraction
0.175
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
029.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?SELL84.0¢19.99Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?SELL64.0¢20Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?SELL97.0¢20Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL37.0¢49.99Mar 5
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 5?BUY57.0¢20Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY62.1¢50Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY63.0¢50Mar 5
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 5?BUY59.0¢20Mar 5
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 5?BUY60.0¢20Mar 5
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 5?BUY61.0¢20Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY63.1¢21.3Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?BUY96.4¢20Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY63.2¢50Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY82.0¢50Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY16.0¢50Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?BUY96.6¢20Mar 5
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY66.2¢7.929Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY66.0¢20Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY83.0¢0.28Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY82.0¢100Mar 5

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%33%< 10%5%10–20%9%20–30%16%30–50%14%50–70%7%70–80%7%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.7%
Win Consistency50.9%
Profit Factor0.76
Drawdown Resilience0.62
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62
Weekly Sharpe est.0.47
Trading Activity856 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,18320d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics