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0xe39eb1...6123a5

0xe39eb1...6123a5
Smart Score
57
Win Rate
46.1%
Total P&L
+$55
Trade Count
622
Sharpe Ratio
1.99
Sortino Ratio
5.06
Max Drawdown
12.4%
ROI
0.9%
Profit Factor
1.00
Kelly Fraction
0.001
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
056.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY20.0¢115.72Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY20.0¢0.25Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY20.0¢4.03Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY63.4¢8.01Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY63.4¢16.99Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY53.0¢1.887Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?SELL13.0¢45Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY47.0¢13.44Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY47.0¢19.56Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETBUY47.9¢2.088Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL5.0¢24.1Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?BUY17.0¢45Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY28.0¢4.25Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY28.0¢55.75Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY39.0¢28Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY22.0¢20Mar 5
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?BUY9.0¢30Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY59.0¢10Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY20.0¢4.1Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢20Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%10%10–20%27%20–30%38%30–50%17%50–70%3%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active56.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.7%
Win Consistency70.2%
Profit Factor1.48
Drawdown Resilience1.19
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.19
Weekly Sharpe est.0.91
Trading Activity622 trades · 40 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$16418d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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