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0xe3aeb1...3d217a

0xe3aeb1...3d217a
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
43.7%
Total P&L
+$245
Trade Count
1,375
Sharpe Ratio
0.68
Sortino Ratio
13.38
Max Drawdown
188.8%
ROI
7.3%
Profit Factor
2.17
Kelly Fraction
0.235
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY5.9¢15Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY5.9¢10Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?SELL88.0¢7.14Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?SELL88.0¢2.85Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?BUY17.0¢10Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL69.0¢9.98Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL8.0¢24.97Mar 4
Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?BUY27.0¢10Mar 4
AWS service disrupted by March 31?SELL64.0¢3.48Mar 4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?BUY8.0¢10Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?BUY36.0¢10Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL58.0¢5.18Mar 4
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?SELL57.0¢3.07Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY6.0¢8.93Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY6.0¢1.064Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY7.0¢15Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?BUY20.0¢10Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL58.0¢14.793Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY13.0¢10Mar 4
Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?BUY27.0¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%30%< 10%14%10–20%13%20–30%24%30–50%16%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.88
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.1%
Win Consistency51.5%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity1,375 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$16014d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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