0xe3d176...a4d312

Smart Score

Win Rate

46.2%

Total P&L

+$83

Trade Count

207

Sharpe Ratio

0.46

Sortino Ratio

1.53

Max Drawdown

101.8%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.08

Kelly Fraction

0.033

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	115	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	115	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	78.0¢	277.731	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	39.1¢	65.29	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	1.667	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	1.667	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	45.35	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	3.01	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	2.267	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	11.333	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	88.9¢	244.37	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	59.8¢	575.178	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	385.16	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	93.0¢	31.09	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	93.0¢	345.521	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	31.0¢	72.77	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	31.0¢	16.23	Mar 4
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?	BUY	93.7¢	369.37	Feb 25
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?	SELL	6.1¢	100	Feb 1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	87.0¢	297.84	Jan 31

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.88

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.6%

Win Consistency60.9%

Profit Factor0.42

Drawdown Resilience0.34

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34

Weekly Sharpe est.0.26

Trading Activity207 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$17,9233d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue