0xe3ddd5...fdcfc9

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.2%

Total P&L

+$36

Trade Count

509

Sharpe Ratio

0.80

Sortino Ratio

12.73

Max Drawdown

366.4%

ROI

1.8%

Profit Factor

1.08

Kelly Fraction

0.028

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	16.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	19.0¢	4	Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	1.6¢	632	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	SELL	48.0¢	17.65	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	SELL	48.0¢	9.35	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	BUY	46.0¢	27	Mar 5
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	SELL	62.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	SELL	62.0¢	5	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	SELL	23.0¢	18	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	SELL	13.0¢	18	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	43.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	101	Mar 5
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	1.0¢	1,366	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Black Plastic" this week? (March 8)	SELL	8.0¢	11	Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?	SELL	50.0¢	4.184	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	BUY	41.0¢	27.64	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	BUY	41.0¢	5.36	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?	SELL	62.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Stock" or "401(k)" or "Roof" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	30.0¢	28.14	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.5%

Win Consistency44.9%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity509 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$5706d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue