0xe3e4bd...878d04

Smart Score

Win Rate

47.0%

Total P&L

+$15.9K

Trade Count

999

Sharpe Ratio

1.77

Sortino Ratio

59.47

Max Drawdown

33.7%

ROI

176.8%

Profit Factor

2.10

Kelly Fraction

0.246

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

063.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	21.0¢	29.78	Mar 4
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	21.0¢	20	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	BUY	12.0¢	100	Mar 3
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	BUY	11.0¢	204	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	47.0¢	500	Mar 3
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	SELL	63.0¢	97	Mar 2
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	SELL	63.0¢	402.954	Mar 1
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	BUY	7.8¢	475.7	Mar 1
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	BUY	7.8¢	24.295	Mar 1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	11.6¢	1,000	Mar 1
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?	BUY	2.3¢	1,100	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	0.3¢	1,000	Mar 1
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?	BUY	2.5¢	100	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	0.4¢	1,000	Feb 28
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	BUY	18.0¢	1.22	Feb 28
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	BUY	18.0¢	200	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.3¢	200	Feb 28
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	BUY	13.0¢	9.72	Feb 28
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	BUY	13.0¢	10	Feb 28
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	BUY	13.0¢	12.414	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active63.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)57.8%

Win Consistency48.5%

Profit Factor1.65

Drawdown Resilience1.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.33

Weekly Sharpe est.1.02

Trading Activity999 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,8597d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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