0xe3ebb8...41443c

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.8%

Total P&L

+$72

Trade Count

3,315

Sharpe Ratio

0.18

Sortino Ratio

0.34

Max Drawdown

1848.3%

ROI

1.1%

Profit Factor

1.19

Kelly Fraction

0.095

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	9.83	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	0.01	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	0.01	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	0.31	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	30.2¢	28.44	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.3¢	2.035	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.3¢	2.024	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	41.8¢	7.177	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.1¢	2.039	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	0.95	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.9¢	2.033	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	0.95	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	0.02	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	0.09	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	0.09	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	3.06	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	0.01	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.81

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.5%

Win Consistency54.9%

Profit Factor0.38

Drawdown Resilience0.31

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.31

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity3,315 trades · 46 active days

P&L Calendar

$94013d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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