0xe408e6...c1677f

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.9%

Total P&L

-$362

Trade Count

111

Sharpe Ratio

-0.40

Sortino Ratio

-1.14

Max Drawdown

1392.1%

ROI

-3.3%

Profit Factor

0.79

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	BUY	58.0¢	172.414	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	BUY	97.0¢	1,030.928	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	1,020.4	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	1,010.101	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	BUY	97.7¢	1,023.215	Mar 5
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	SELL	5.0¢	100	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	SELL	75.0¢	131.57	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	69.6¢	1,400	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	38.0¢	131.579	Jan 8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	28.0¢	1,000	Jan 8
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	100	Jan 8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	25.0¢	400	Jan 8
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?	SELL	98.0¢	100	Jan 3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	23.0¢	100	Dec 16
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	74.0¢	512.82	Dec 16
CME list sports event contracts by December 31?	BUY	33.1¢	60.407	Dec 14
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	78.0¢	256.41	Dec 14
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	78.0¢	256.41	Dec 14
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?	BUY	76.0¢	69.16	Dec 10
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?	BUY	76.0¢	30.838	Dec 10

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.2%

Win Consistency28.9%

Profit Factor0.12

Drawdown Resilience0.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity111 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,58811d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue