0xe43ad6...0690b8

Smart Score

Win Rate

49.1%

Total P&L

+$309

Trade Count

2,669

Sharpe Ratio

-0.01

Sortino Ratio

-0.02

Max Drawdown

259.0%

ROI

2.7%

Profit Factor

2.06

Kelly Fraction

0.252

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	86.2¢	5	Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	63.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	SELL	98.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	85.5¢	5	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	84.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	65.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	BUY	98.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	90.3¢	5	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	72.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	73.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	75.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.1¢	5	Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	86.2¢	5	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	95.4¢	5	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	75.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	72.0¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.0%

Win Consistency47.4%

Profit Factor0.46

Drawdown Resilience0.37

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37

Weekly Sharpe est.0.28

Trading Activity2,669 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$43713d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue