0xe472ce...ace7eb

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.3%

Total P&L

+$11.6K

Trade Count

3,298

Sharpe Ratio

0.08

Sortino Ratio

0.10

Max Drawdown

262.7%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

1.95

Kelly Fraction

0.416

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	76.0¢	13.158	Mar 5
New pandemic in 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	102.023	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	73.0¢	130	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	62.9¢	300	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	77.2¢	259.058	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	72.0¢	277.778	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	66.3¢	301.495	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	95.0¢	100	Mar 5
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	100	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	96.0¢	468.72	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	96.0¢	6.28	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	96.0¢	25	Mar 5
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	337.15	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	77.0¢	300	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	71.5¢	300	Mar 5
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	12	Mar 5
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	13	Mar 5
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	12.5	Mar 5
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	11.5	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.0%

Win Consistency69.5%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity3,298 trades · 106 active days

P&L Calendar

$212,32331d profit68d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue