0xe483f1...495469

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.7%

Total P&L

+$3.4K

Trade Count

294

Sharpe Ratio

1.20

Sortino Ratio

3.27

Max Drawdown

182.8%

ROI

38.3%

Profit Factor

8.87

Kelly Fraction

0.707

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

047.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BUY	98.0¢	90	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BUY	2.1¢	90	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?	BUY	98.9¢	90	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?	BUY	1.2¢	90	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	2.5¢	40	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	97.6¢	40	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	2.0¢	60	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.1¢	60	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.4¢	60	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.7¢	60	Mar 4
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.4¢	120	Mar 4
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.7¢	120	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	SELL	97.7¢	70	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BUY	98.0¢	70	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	96.1¢	100	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	4.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.6¢	30	Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	3.5¢	30	Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	2.3¢	60	Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.8¢	60	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing47.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.3%

Win Consistency46.9%

Profit Factor1.24

Drawdown Resilience1.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.76

Trading Activity294 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,8650d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue