0xe4b341...c0eddc

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.0%

Total P&L

+$578

Trade Count

739

Sharpe Ratio

0.38

Sortino Ratio

5.11

Max Drawdown

427.5%

ROI

1.1%

Profit Factor

1.59

Kelly Fraction

0.249

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	32.8¢	15	Mar 5
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	32.7¢	10	Mar 5
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	32.6¢	158.8	Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	91.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	84.2¢	100	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	88.0¢	30	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	98.4¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	SELL	78.0¢	17.1	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY	34.0¢	100	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	SELL	69.4¢	175	Mar 3
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	94.0¢	60	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	70.9¢	20	Mar 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	66.5¢	10	Mar 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	65.0¢	12.1	Mar 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	65.0¢	10	Mar 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	69.8¢	20	Mar 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	69.7¢	20	Mar 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	63.5¢	100	Mar 1
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	97.1¢	100	Mar 1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	71.0¢	44.82	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.9%

Win Consistency50.5%

Profit Factor0.83

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity739 trades · 49 active days

P&L Calendar

$10,95212d profit37d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue