0xe4d698...e5745d

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.7%

Total P&L

-$1.4K

Trade Count

770

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

25.09

Max Drawdown

1035.9%

ROI

-7.9%

Profit Factor

0.23

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	BUY	22.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	BUY	12.0¢	70	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	BUY	7.0¢	20	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	96.3¢	6.21	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	96.3¢	6.21	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	96.3¢	6.21	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	96.3¢	6.21	Mar 5
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 26?	SELL	2.0¢	90.08	Feb 26
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 26?	SELL	2.0¢	9.92	Feb 26
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 26?	BUY	2.0¢	85.06	Feb 26
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 26?	BUY	2.0¢	14.94	Feb 26
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on February 26?	SELL	16.2¢	5	Feb 26
Meta (META) Up or Down on February 26?	SELL	59.0¢	100	Feb 26
Meta (META) Up or Down on February 26?	BUY	59.0¢	100	Feb 26
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on February 26?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Feb 26
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on February 26?	SELL	70.4¢	10	Feb 26
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on February 26?	BUY	70.0¢	5	Feb 26
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on February 26?	BUY	69.6¢	5	Feb 26
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	85.0¢	31	Feb 24
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	BUY	3.9¢	24.34	Feb 24

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.26

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.4%

Win Consistency41.5%

Profit Factor0.12

Drawdown Resilience0.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity286 trades · 36 active days

P&L Calendar

$5515d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue