0xe55796...6da3f1

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.2%

Total P&L

-$13

Trade Count

168

Sharpe Ratio

0.67

Sortino Ratio

7.62

Max Drawdown

242.2%

ROI

-4.7%

Profit Factor

0.80

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	13.0¢	0.07	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.01	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.01	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.15	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.08	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.23	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.15	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.14	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.39	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.11	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.01	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.02	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	1.59	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	13.0¢	0.02	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	13.0¢	0.11	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	6.86	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	11.0¢	28.17	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	11.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	11.0¢	0.2	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	11.0¢	1.98	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.7%

Win Consistency50.9%

Profit Factor0.65

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity168 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

$1695d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue