0xe55bcf...4f04c0

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.7%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.63

Sortino Ratio

-1.40

Max Drawdown

724.1%

ROI

-1.4%

Profit Factor

0.68

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	84.6¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	82.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?	BUY	93.5¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	91.3¢	5	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	SELL	89.2¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	BUY	95.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	79.4¢	5	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	95.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	84.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	92.9¢	7.3	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	6.91	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	6.55	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	83.7¢	5	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	94.9¢	6.77	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	89.7¢	7.68	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	88.9¢	7.8	Mar 3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	84.7¢	5	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.6%

Win Consistency62.2%

Profit Factor0.16

Drawdown Resilience0.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Trading Activity67 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$2951d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue