0xe5726e...c2d6be

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.6%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.29

Sortino Ratio

-1.18

Max Drawdown

113875.0%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

90.93

Kelly Fraction

0.976

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.6¢	22.028	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	11.041	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	11.031	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	11.012	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.991	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.98	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	10.971	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.961	Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	99.9¢	10.951	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 47°F or below on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.94	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 21?	BUY	96.0¢	10.927	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on February 21?	BUY	99.8¢	10.491	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.47	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.46	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.45	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.44	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.43	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.42	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.41	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.4	Feb 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.0%

Win Consistency16.2%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity74 trades · 46 active days

P&L Calendar

$7780d profit46d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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