0xe57341...82ae05

Smart Score

Win Rate

23.6%

Total P&L

+$427

Trade Count

156

Sharpe Ratio

1.46

Sortino Ratio

68.16

Max Drawdown

550.3%

ROI

34.0%

Profit Factor

2.04

Kelly Fraction

0.120

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	16.1¢	31.038	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	4.1¢	18.32	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	28	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	9.1¢	21.978	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	11.111	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	BUY	52.9¢	56.761	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	12.9¢	61.923	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	2.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	1.3¢	37.5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	13.4¢	37.434	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	26.2¢	38.241	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	45.6¢	21.925	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	7.7¢	29	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?	BUY	23.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	44.7¢	33.52	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 4?	SELL	88.3¢	24.76	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on March 4?	BUY	3.5¢	57.393	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?	BUY	4.7¢	21.404	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 4?	BUY	28.3¢	24.765	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?	SELL	6.0¢	45.92	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.1%

Win Consistency34.8%

Profit Factor0.77

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity156 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$1383d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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