0xe57b07...578ac6

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

-$69

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.12

Sortino Ratio

-0.22

Max Drawdown

152.2%

ROI

-7.0%

Profit Factor

0.67

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	14.5¢	154.47	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	14.5¢	7.05	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	14.5¢	138.48	Mar 5
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	SELL	47.0¢	100	Feb 24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	6.8¢	30	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	49.0¢	100	Feb 19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	7.0¢	100	Feb 19
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?	SELL	79.0¢	80	Feb 7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?	BUY	77.0¢	80	Feb 7
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	28.9¢	27.7	Feb 2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	28.9¢	140.647	Feb 2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	28.9¢	10.3	Feb 2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	28.9¢	13.74	Feb 2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	28.9¢	7.61	Feb 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 22?	BUY	30.0¢	0.86	Jan 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 22?	SELL	18.7¢	0.08	Jan 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 22?	SELL	18.7¢	11.551	Jan 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 22?	SELL	18.7¢	12.353	Jan 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 22?	BUY	9.0¢	25	Jan 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 22?	BUY	20.0¢	25	Jan 20

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.4%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.21

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity35 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$1503d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue