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0xe5a151...f83840

0xe5a151...f83840
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
36.7%
Total P&L
+$5.5K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
-3.13
Sortino Ratio
-7.99
Max Drawdown
3058.1%
ROI
515.7%
Profit Factor
3.42
Kelly Fraction
0.260
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY1.5¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY29.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY0.6¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY0.5¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 5?BUY4.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 5?BUY0.2¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY50.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY1.9¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY11.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 5?BUY3.9¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY1.6¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY51.0¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY29.0¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY0.5¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY2.5¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY0.4¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 5?BUY0.1¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY10.0¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 6?BUY42.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY0.9¢8Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%62%< 10%14%10–20%13%20–30%11%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.08
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.8%
Win Consistency35.9%
Profit Factor0.51
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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