0xe5a637...ad7ae0

0xe5a637...ad7ae0
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
61.6%
Total P&L
+$1.1K
Trade Count
174
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10
Sortino Ratio
-0.09
Max Drawdown
13189.1%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
18.82
Kelly Fraction
0.583
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
028.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?BUY99.9¢15.015Mar 5
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?BUY99.9¢16.016Mar 5
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3¢1,066.667Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?BUY99.9¢12.722Feb 18
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?BUY99.2¢25.212Feb 18
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?SELL13.1¢100Feb 18
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?BUY17.0¢100Feb 17
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?BUY99.9¢15.015Feb 16
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?BUY31.9¢50Feb 7
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?BUY68.1¢50Feb 7
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,500 on February 4?BUY99.9¢55.095Feb 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 3?BUY99.9¢2.912Jan 2
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?BUY99.7¢18.054Jan 2
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?BUY99.9¢12.012Jan 2
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?BUY99.7¢22.066Jan 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 10?BUY99.9¢2.792Dec 9
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY99.7¢26.078Dec 9
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY99.9¢26.026Dec 9
Army vs. Air ForceBUY51.0¢1,860.784Nov 1
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?BUY98.0¢54.714Sep 30
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%15%30–50%38%50–70%8%70–80%4%80–90%31%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%
Win Consistency38.6%
Profit Factor0.74
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity74 trades · 23 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,5110d profit23d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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