0xe5c20f...772b81

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.1%

Total P&L

+$637

Trade Count

1,011

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

0.39

Max Drawdown

62.8%

ROI

3.9%

Profit Factor

1.43

Kelly Fraction

0.210

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Megaquake by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	17.116	Mar 5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	SELL	96.1¢	16.92	Mar 5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of March?	BUY	95.0¢	13.084	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" in March?	BUY	68.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Judy Shelton" in March?	BUY	95.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	96.4¢	10	Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	80.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,500 (HIGH) in March 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	10	Mar 4
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	BUY	90.0¢	12.06	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	95.9¢	7.101	Mar 3
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	78.0¢	6.41	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?	BUY	90.9¢	7.701	Mar 3
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	7	Mar 3
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?	BUY	97.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	BUY	86.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?	BUY	96.0¢	8.72	Mar 3
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?	BUY	96.0¢	7.75	Mar 3
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?	BUY	96.0¢	23.7	Mar 3
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	SELL	95.0¢	37.44	Mar 3
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?	SELL	90.6¢	10	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.2%

Win Consistency62.1%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.84

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Trading Activity1,011 trades · 104 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,75421d profit79d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue