0xe5dcce...9a8130

0xe5dcce...9a8130
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
84.1%
Total P&L
+$10
Trade Count
45
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Sortino Ratio
0.43
Max Drawdown
24.9%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
1.75
Kelly Fraction
0.361
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
048.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5?BUY0.2¢1,275Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢94.094Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 1?BUY99.8¢48.096Mar 1
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 February 23-March 1?BUY99.9¢52.052Feb 28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 28?BUY99.9¢49.049Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 10?BUY99.9¢100.1Feb 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3?BUY99.3¢64.451Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 3?BUY0.4¢650Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?BUY99.9¢36.036Feb 3
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on January 28?BUY99.9¢59.059Jan 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 27?BUY99.8¢43.086Jan 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 19?BUY99.8¢75.15Jan 18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 18?BUY0.3¢766.667Jan 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 18?BUY99.7¢27.081Jan 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 16?BUY99.9¢105.105Jan 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 9?BUY99.9¢105.105Jan 9
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 8?BUY99.9¢103.103Jan 8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 3?BUY99.9¢104.104Jan 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 28?BUY99.9¢97.097Dec 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on December 27?BUY99.7¢97.292Dec 26
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%84%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing48.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.69
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.5%
Win Consistency43.2%
Profit Factor1.27
Drawdown Resilience1.03
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03
Weekly Sharpe est.0.78
Trading Activity45 trades · 29 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,2160d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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