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0xe5ed1d...985e8c

0xe5ed1d...985e8c
Smart Score
9
Win Rate
41.7%
Total P&L
+$47
Trade Count
39
Sharpe Ratio
-0.87
Sortino Ratio
-2.04
Max Drawdown
223.0%
ROI
11.5%
Profit Factor
2.39
Kelly Fraction
0.242
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
09.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY68.6¢4.373Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY68.6¢14.577Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY32.9¢39.514Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY38.0¢47.368Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY35.2¢28.409Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY34.8¢28.712Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY34.7¢28.818Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY34.7¢28.836Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?SELL14.7¢95.23Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL30.0¢57.37Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL45.0¢79.52Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?BUY21.0¢95.238Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY9.0¢22.222Mar 3
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY19.0¢20Feb 25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY19.0¢5.33Feb 24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY19.0¢8.642Feb 24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY19.0¢1.802Feb 24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY19.0¢1.617Feb 24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY19.0¢1.963Feb 24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY19.0¢0.62Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%18%< 10%33%10–20%6%20–30%21%30–50%6%50–70%9%70–80%6%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing9.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.51
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.5%
Win Consistency25.0%
Profit Factor0.24
Drawdown Resilience0.20
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20
Weekly Sharpe est.0.15
Trading Activity39 trades · 14 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2391d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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