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0xe6055a...c4ac5f

0xe6055a...c4ac5f
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
34.7%
Total P&L
+$30.2K
Trade Count
2,318
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Sortino Ratio
3.14
Max Drawdown
553.4%
ROI
14.4%
Profit Factor
3.17
Kelly Fraction
0.237
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?SELL80.0¢118.3Mar 5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY9.9¢1,010.101Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?SELL27.2¢135.35Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY29.6¢135.359Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL75.0¢389Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY80.0¢125Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY75.8¢264.005Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?BUY84.5¢118.306Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY63.0¢317.46Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY21.0¢47.619Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?BUY11.0¢91.217Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?SELL33.0¢80Mar 5
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY40.0¢20Mar 5
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY40.0¢439.68Mar 4
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY39.2¢69.14Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL14.5¢930.13Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL15.4¢930.12Mar 4
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY37.2¢227.71Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?SELL15.0¢416.66Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)SELL99.1¢507.99Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%28%< 10%17%10–20%14%20–30%17%30–50%12%50–70%6%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.3%
Win Consistency35.0%
Profit Factor0.75
Drawdown Resilience0.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity1,875 trades · 278 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$64104d profit172d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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