0xe63049...2d76f9

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$435

Trade Count

117

Sharpe Ratio

0.70

Sortino Ratio

4.10

Max Drawdown

212.7%

ROI

8.2%

Profit Factor

2.32

Kelly Fraction

0.284

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	21.8¢	45.929	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	64.0¢	39.033	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	28.2¢	61.37	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	16.5¢	18.158	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	SELL	99.0¢	90.94	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	BUY	55.0¢	90.944	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 3?	SELL	99.1¢	59.57	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 3?	BUY	83.9¢	59.572	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on February 25?	BUY	15.9¢	25.1	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 25?	BUY	27.1¢	73.711	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?	SELL	99.0¢	374.71	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?	BUY	61.7¢	140.413	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?	BUY	85.4¢	234.299	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 23?	SELL	99.9¢	286.89	Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 23?	BUY	87.6¢	286.899	Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 23?	SELL	2.0¢	47.61	Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 23?	BUY	21.0¢	47.619	Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 21?	BUY	69.8¢	71.669	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?	SELL	10.0¢	43.46	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20?	BUY	85.0¢	58.824	Feb 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.3%

Win Consistency55.1%

Profit Factor0.92

Drawdown Resilience0.75

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity117 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$66513d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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