0xe63722...872564

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.4%

Total P&L

+$303

Trade Count

130

Sharpe Ratio

0.50

Sortino Ratio

11.69

Max Drawdown

24758.6%

ROI

2.6%

Profit Factor

2.25

Kelly Fraction

0.397

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	1.8¢	58.4	Mar 5
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	1.6¢	55	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	96.4¢	1.94	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	96.4¢	6.53	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	96.4¢	9.44	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	96.4¢	46	Mar 4
Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win 60 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?	BUY	98.0¢	23	Mar 4
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.1¢	108	Mar 4
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	95.0¢	0.13	Mar 3
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	95.0¢	66	Mar 3
Will Pete Chambers win the 2026 Texas Governor Republican primary election?	BUY	99.3¢	204.286	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 2?	BUY	90.0¢	25.21	Mar 1
Will SOFR hit 3.61% (Low) between February 13 and February 28?	BUY	99.5¢	216	Mar 1
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 be greater than 2,800,000?	BUY	96.0¢	51.64	Mar 1
Will Trump talk to Christopher Waller in February?	BUY	99.3¢	0.52	Feb 27
Will Trump talk to Christopher Waller in February?	BUY	99.3¢	235.714	Feb 27
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?	BUY	99.2¢	221.25	Feb 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 1?	BUY	4.0¢	71.25	Jan 31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?	BUY	97.2¢	0.35	Jan 31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?	BUY	97.2¢	92.857	Jan 31

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.0%

Win Consistency45.1%

Profit Factor1.06

Drawdown Resilience0.85

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85

Weekly Sharpe est.0.65

Trading Activity130 trades · 63 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,7130d profit63d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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