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0xe64408...d33df7

0xe64408...d33df7
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
68.4%
Total P&L
+$198
Trade Count
293
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Sortino Ratio
0.72
Max Drawdown
1447.0%
ROI
8.6%
Profit Factor
15.57
Kelly Fraction
0.640
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
032.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY98.0¢9.184Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.9¢6.031Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢7.14Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY98.0¢7.143Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL77.3¢6.18Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.0¢6.186Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢10.91Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢10.917Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢6.061Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.7¢10.13Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.9¢10.139Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.4¢7.39Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.6¢7.4Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)BUY94.0¢6.383Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY98.0¢10.204Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL74.8¢6.68Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY74.8¢6.684Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢6.25Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢6.25Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12AM ETBUY97.0¢10.309Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%11%50–70%10%70–80%6%80–90%69%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.81
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.9%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor0.86
Drawdown Resilience0.69
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity293 trades · 34 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7056d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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