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0xe6476a...b4960c

0xe6476a...b4960c
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
16.0%
Total P&L
+$13
Trade Count
201
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
76.31
Max Drawdown
313.4%
ROI
5.1%
Profit Factor
1.09
Kelly Fraction
0.013
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY48.9¢2.045Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY3.0¢33.333Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY20.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETSELL99.1¢1.89Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY52.0¢1.923Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSELL99.1¢2.59Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY38.0¢2.632Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY1.0¢100Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY14.0¢7.143Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY1.0¢100Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY19.0¢5.263Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY7.0¢14.286Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY62.0¢1.613Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY71.0¢1.408Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY3.7¢27.188Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSELL99.0¢2.23Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY44.0¢2.273Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%61%< 10%13%10–20%7%20–30%11%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.14
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%
Win Consistency42.0%
Profit Factor0.54
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity201 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1472d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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