0xe64f8f...b36cc3

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

-$1.4K

Trade Count

275

Sharpe Ratio

-0.27

Sortino Ratio

-0.44

Max Drawdown

521.5%

ROI

-8.4%

Profit Factor

0.32

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	61.4¢	16.287	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	75.2¢	63.98	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	78.1¢	63.99	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	SELL	79.3¢	66.48	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	47.4¢	29.23	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	68.4¢	29.24	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	75.2¢	66.489	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	60.97	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	60.976	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	71.9¢	55	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	90.9¢	55.005	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	89.1¢	68.49	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	68.493	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	2.3¢	13.6	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	14.7¢	13.605	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	86.1¢	107.69	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	1.6¢	81.8	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	72.9¢	107.682	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	2.4¢	81.8	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	1.7¢	107.89	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency51.3%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity275 trades · 84 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,86524d profit60d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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