0xe68046...a98788

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.5%

Total P&L

+$11.2K

Trade Count

836

Sharpe Ratio

0.16

Sortino Ratio

0.30

Max Drawdown

36.7%

ROI

7.3%

Profit Factor

2.80

Kelly Fraction

0.415

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

052.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	21.0¢	5,000	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	92.0¢	1,273.09	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	88.0¢	1,160.76	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	88.0¢	35.227	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	88.0¢	77.09	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	78.0¢	600	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	81.0¢	259.04	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	81.0¢	78.947	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	81.0¢	10.526	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	81.0¢	52.632	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	81.0¢	363.453	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	81.0¢	235.38	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	27.0¢	3,184.4	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	84.5¢	946.19	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	27.0¢	815.6	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	99.8¢	3,332.53	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	65.0¢	3,332.538	Feb 28
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?	SELL	55.9¢	1,000	Oct 1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?	BUY	39.7¢	332	Sep 25
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?	BUY	39.7¢	70	Sep 25

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing52.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.90

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.0%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor1.37

Drawdown Resilience1.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.84

Trading Activity119 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

+$2,51515d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue