0xe681ce...827378

0xe681ce...827378
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
98.4%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
63
Sharpe Ratio
-1.42
Sortino Ratio
-1.30
Max Drawdown
45120.0%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
94.98
Kelly Fraction
0.974
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
026.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY99.7¢20.993Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 4?BUY99.8¢10.321Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.3Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.29Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.28Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.27Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?BUY99.9¢10.26Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.25Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.24Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.23Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.22Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.21Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.2Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.19Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 4°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.18Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.17Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.16Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.15Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.14Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 16?BUY99.9¢10.13Feb 16
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.0%
Win Consistency16.1%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity63 trades · 44 active days
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P&L Calendar
$6300d profit43d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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