0xe6938d...88309c

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.7%

Total P&L

+$1.7K

Trade Count

3,246

Sharpe Ratio

0.40

Sortino Ratio

0.77

Max Drawdown

2768.1%

ROI

6.9%

Profit Factor

2.16

Kelly Fraction

0.407

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?	SELL	93.0¢	9	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	17	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	8	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	97.0¢	8.84	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?	SELL	92.0¢	4.2	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	97.0¢	11.16	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 6?	BUY	96.0¢	13.613	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 5?	SELL	99.7¢	2	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 5?	SELL	99.7¢	4.01	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?	SELL	92.0¢	6.32	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	0.29	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	98.0¢	9	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	9	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	1.29	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.3%

Win Consistency63.0%

Profit Factor0.75

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity3,246 trades · 57 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,5363d profit54d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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