0xe69d24...e92985

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.4%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.68

Sortino Ratio

-2.44

Max Drawdown

3793.3%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

4.93

Kelly Fraction

0.290

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	44.08	Mar 5
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	44.08	Feb 26
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	1.7¢	60.44	Feb 23
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.9¢	60.44	Feb 16
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.1¢	603.96	Feb 13
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.2¢	603.96	Feb 6
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.2¢	425.74	Feb 4
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.3¢	425.74	Jan 28
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	0.2¢	608.91	Jan 14
Will the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	SELL	99.8¢	81.99	Jan 11
Will the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	BUY	99.9¢	81.99	Jan 5
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	2.9¢	30.8	Jan 2
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	2.9¢	22.96	Jan 2
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	3.9¢	53.76	Dec 26
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	97.3¢	69.31	Dec 24
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	97.9¢	69.31	Dec 16
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	SELL	98.4¢	99.67	Dec 11
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	BUY	98.6¢	99.67	Dec 3
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.1¢	88.94	Nov 27
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.2¢	88.94	Nov 27

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.81

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.4%

Win Consistency26.3%

Profit Factor0.38

Drawdown Resilience0.31

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.31

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity38 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$1517d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue