0xe69f68...6564e5

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.0%

Total P&L

-$1

Trade Count

203

Sharpe Ratio

-1.64

Sortino Ratio

-2.59

Max Drawdown

25638.7%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

9.89

Kelly Fraction

0.827

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	96.0¢	57.94	Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	93.2¢	61.4	Mar 3
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	93.0¢	61.4	Mar 3
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	95.2¢	54.19	Mar 3
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	94.8¢	54.19	Mar 3
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	97.9¢	54.83	Mar 2
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	97.9¢	54.83	Feb 25
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	59.3	Feb 25
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.5¢	59.3	Feb 13
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	SELL	97.4¢	58.22	Feb 13
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	97.5¢	58.22	Feb 13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	93.2¢	44.84	Feb 10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	93.2¢	10	Feb 10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	93.2¢	7.5	Feb 10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	93.7¢	62.34	Feb 10
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	95.0¢	62.06	Feb 10
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.2¢	62.06	Feb 10
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.0¢	57.1	Feb 10
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.2¢	57.09	Feb 10
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	93.5¢	6.82	Feb 10

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.0%

Win Consistency25.8%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity203 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$7011d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue