0xe6c85f...acb8c0

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.8%

Total P&L

+$2.8K

Trade Count

787

Sharpe Ratio

0.25

Sortino Ratio

14.45

Max Drawdown

10214.7%

ROI

8.3%

Profit Factor

1.46

Kelly Fraction

0.248

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?	SELL	99.4¢	25	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?	SELL	87.3¢	20.6	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?	SELL	30.0¢	11.5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?	SELL	99.8¢	29	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 5?	SELL	99.5¢	24	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?	SELL	61.0¢	5.8	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 6?	BUY	88.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 6?	SELL	13.0¢	15.5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	99.1¢	7.68	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 6?	BUY	87.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	99.1¢	4.58	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	99.1¢	25	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	99.1¢	3.34	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 6?	BUY	86.0¢	6.83	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	94.9¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	500	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	500	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	493	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	500	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	99.1¢	57	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.1%

Win Consistency55.6%

Profit Factor0.95

Drawdown Resilience0.76

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity787 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$28,1196d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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