0xe6d1c9...08a27c

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.6%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.32

Sortino Ratio

-1.20

Max Drawdown

561152.7%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

61.92

Kelly Fraction

0.970

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.6¢	21.335	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	10.44	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	10.43	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	10.42	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	10.411	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.39	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.38	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	10.36	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.35	Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	99.9¢	10.34	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 47°F or below on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.33	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.32	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	10.31	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.3	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.29	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.28	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.27	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.26	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.25	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.24	Feb 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.9%

Win Consistency15.1%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity73 trades · 45 active days

P&L Calendar

$7560d profit45d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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