0xe7093c...169d39

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.6%

Total P&L

-$322

Trade Count

1,895

Sharpe Ratio

0.35

Sortino Ratio

1.29

Max Drawdown

11370.7%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.97

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	BUY	82.1¢	10	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	82.8¢	64	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	200	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	50.0¢	100	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	50.0¢	300	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	65.0¢	584	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	39.0¢	50	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	38.0¢	20	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	38.0¢	10.07	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	38.0¢	39.927	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	44.0¢	20	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	3.9¢	10	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	SELL	75.5¢	299.04	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	43.1	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	70.7¢	27.79	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	63.0¢	10	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	67.0¢	58	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	67.0¢	68	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	45.0¢	50	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	49.0¢	124.27	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.91

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.0%

Win Consistency57.1%

Profit Factor0.43

Drawdown Resilience0.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35

Weekly Sharpe est.0.26

Trading Activity1,895 trades · 191 active days

P&L Calendar

$14,80259d profit131d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue