0xe76b2b...0ae02a

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.4%

Total P&L

+$11.0K

Trade Count

2,513

Sharpe Ratio

0.24

Sortino Ratio

5.17

Max Drawdown

430.6%

ROI

6.7%

Profit Factor

3.82

Kelly Fraction

0.247

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	109.96	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	1.2¢	2.96	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	2.2¢	0.43	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	2.2¢	199.57	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	24.3¢	40	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	22.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	28.4¢	100	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	SELL	4.7¢	23.11	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	SELL	4.7¢	76.889	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	506.23	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	5.01	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	0.02	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	5.01	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	5.01	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	0.02	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	0.02	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	0.02	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.2%

Win Consistency43.1%

Profit Factor0.92

Drawdown Resilience0.74

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity2,346 trades · 82 active days

P&L Calendar

+$6,94535d profit47d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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