0xe76dd8...98337a

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.4%

Total P&L

+$231

Trade Count

196

Sharpe Ratio

5.15

Sortino Ratio

38.92

Max Drawdown

132.5%

ROI

34.6%

Profit Factor

5.44

Kelly Fraction

0.395

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

047.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	74.0¢	1.351	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	60.9¢	1.642	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	60.9¢	1.642	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	60.9¢	1.642	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	22.0¢	3.68	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	34.0¢	0.48	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	24.0¢	4.167	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	25.0¢	5.71	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	74.0¢	1.351	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	18.0¢	5.556	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	64.0¢	1.02	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	64.0¢	0.06	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	67.0¢	1.87	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	46.0¢	0.47	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	55.0¢	2.38	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	36.0¢	0.83	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	36.0¢	2.83	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	55.0¢	0.18	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing47.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.4%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor1.24

Drawdown Resilience1.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.76

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue