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0xe7bd1b...0d90aa

0xe7bd1b...0d90aa
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
79.4%
Total P&L
+$488
Trade Count
129
Sharpe Ratio
-0.56
Sortino Ratio
-0.50
Max Drawdown
86800.0%
ROI
10.5%
Profit Factor
2.64
Kelly Fraction
0.493
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on November 18?BUY99.6¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.4¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.6¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.7¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.7¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.7¢5Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.7¢5Nov 17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on November 17?BUY99.8¢5Nov 17
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on November 17?BUY99.9¢5Nov 17
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 3?BUY50.0¢852.2Nov 2
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on October 31?BUY44.0¢534Oct 30

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%69%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.13
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%
Win Consistency28.8%
Profit Factor0.54
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity29 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4791d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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