0xe8179a...2d8c91

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.8%

Total P&L

+$15

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.86

Sortino Ratio

1.79

Max Drawdown

1046.2%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.66

Kelly Fraction

0.182

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 5?	BUY	97.4¢	23.48	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	2.3¢	50	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?	BUY	3.3¢	151	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	1.7¢	30	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	29.57	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4?	BUY	2.5¢	101	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 4?	BUY	1.3¢	108	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?	BUY	2.0¢	8.44	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?	BUY	2.0¢	24	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 3?	BUY	2.3¢	50	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 2?	BUY	98.7¢	34.97	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 2?	BUY	1.6¢	10	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 2?	BUY	1.4¢	10	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	1.0¢	110	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 1?	BUY	1.2¢	147	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	4.3¢	70	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	4.3¢	30	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	1.6¢	65	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	BUY	2.0¢	124	Feb 28
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	SELL	99.0¢	540.91	Dec 7

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.2%

Win Consistency45.8%

Profit Factor0.52

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity36 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$5802d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue